future of Super-forecasting



“The long and fascinating history of prediction. According to economist Tim Harford, billions of dollars are spent on experts who claim they can forecast what’s around the corner in business, finance and economics. Seeing into the future fascinated economists John Maynard Keynes and Irving Fisher in the 1920s. And more recently US intelligence agencies have funded research into super forecasting.”
http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/why-most-expert-2015-predictions-will-be-wrong/5993266
http://www.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/series/moreorless

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